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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 8 (Oct 18), 2026-27: Hawai`i 55%, Northern Illinois 45% at Northern Illinois.
Hawai`i's win probability against Northern Illinois has swung between 35% and 58% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 55% now.
Hawai`i's win probability against Northern Illinois has swung between 41% and 64% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 61% now.
Hawai`i's win probability against Northern Illinois has swung between 48% and 70% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 67% now.